Portfolio Construction · Reading 89

Defined Benefit vs Defined Contribution

CFA Level I · Portfolio Construction · Reading 89: Portfolio Management: An Overview · about 46 min

What you'll learn

Module 89.1

Portfolio Management Process

This reading introduces the portfolio approach, the three steps of the portfolio management process, the needs of different types of investors, the difference between defined contribution and defined benefit pension plans, and the asset management industry with its pooled investment vehicles.

LOS 89.a — The portfolio approach to investing

Under the portfolio approach (also called the portfolio perspective), every candidate investment is judged by what it adds to, or takes away from, the risk and return of the investor's whole portfolio. The alternative is to study the risk and return of each security on its own and to ignore how it fits with everything else the investor owns. An investor who puts all of her savings in the one stock she believes is "the best" is not using the portfolio perspective. She carries far more risk than someone holding a diversified mix of stocks.

  • Diversification lets an investor cut portfolio risk without necessarily giving up expected return. It mainly narrows the spread of outcomes, making very high and very low returns both less likely. It is not a tool for raising expected return.
  • Modern portfolio theory (MPT) concludes that the extra risk of holding a single security, which could have been diversified away, is not rewarded with a higher expected return.
  • Harry Markowitz (early 1950s) used the standard deviation of returns as the measure of risk and showed how combining risky assets changes portfolio risk and expected return. His key result: unless the assets' returns are perfectly positively correlated, combining them reduces risk.
  • In the 1960s, Treynor, Sharpe, Mossin and Lintner extended this work into MPT, in which equilibrium expected returns are a linear function of market risk, the part of risk that diversification cannot remove.

Measuring the benefit: the diversification ratio

Key concept

The denominator is the average standalone risk of the securities in the group.

RatioInterpretation
= 1No risk reduction at all from combining the securities
below 1Some risk reduction; the lower the ratio, the greater the benefit

Example. A group of 12 stocks has an average standard deviation of 40%. An equally weighted portfolio of the 12 stocks has a standard deviation of 26%. The diversification ratio is : the portfolio carries 65% of the risk of a typical single holding, a 35% reduction.

Two caveats apply. First, an equally weighted portfolio is only a convenient yardstick; optimization software can find the weights that give the lowest standard deviation for the group. Second, diversification works best in normal markets. In a financial crisis, such as the credit contagion of 2008, correlations tend to rise, so diversification protects less at the very time it is most wanted.

Common exam traps

  • Judging a security by its own expected return, its excess-return potential, its fundamentals or its intrinsic value versus price is standalone analysis, not the portfolio approach.
  • Do not invert the ratio. Portfolio risk goes in the numerator, and an equally weighted portfolio's standard deviation can never exceed the average standard deviation of its holdings, so a value above 1 means the ratio was turned upside down. In the 12-stock example, the inverted ratio is instead of 0.65.
  • Low correlations measured in calm markets overstate the protection a portfolio will get in a crisis.

LOS 89.b — The three steps of the portfolio management process

Key concept

StepWhat happensMain output
Planning stepAnalyze the investor's risk tolerance, return objectives, time horizon, tax exposure, liquidity needs, income needs and any unique circumstances or preferencesAn investment policy statement (IPS) setting out objectives and constraints, plus an objective benchmark against which results will later be judged
Execution stepAsset allocation (decide how funds are split among asset classes, often using top-down analysis), security analysis (often bottom-up analysis) and portfolio constructionThe portfolio itself
Feedback stepPortfolio monitoring and rebalancing (restore target weights as prices, markets and client circumstances change); performance measurement and reporting against the IPS benchmarkRebalanced portfolio; performance reports

The IPS is the foundation of the whole process, so writing the IPS comes first. It should be reviewed at least every few years and whenever the client's objectives or constraints change significantly. Recent portfolio performance is not a reason to revise it.

Top-down versus bottom-up analysis (both belong to execution)

  • Top-down analysis works from the broad to the specific. It starts with the macroeconomic picture: forecasts of GDP growth, inflation and interest rates, and the stance of government policy such as fiscal policy (spending and taxes) and monetary policy. From this the manager decides which asset classes look most attractive. The resulting portfolio is usually spread across publicly traded equities, fixed-income securities, cash, private equity, hedge funds, real estate, and commodities and other real assets. Within an asset class the analysis then narrows to industry analysis and only after that to company analysis. Industry analysis comes first because an industry's outlook shapes the results of the firms in it.
  • Bottom-up analysis starts with individual securities: analysts use valuation models to find securities that look undervalued.

Example (sorting activities). Over two months an adviser (1) interviews a new client about goals and constraints and drafts an IPS naming a 70/30 global equity/bond index as the benchmark; (2) uses macro forecasts to pick a 60% equity / 30% bond / 10% infrastructure mix and selects funds and securities; (3) after an equity rally, trims equities back to 60% and reports the quarter's return against the benchmark. Item (1) is planning, (2) is execution and (3) is feedback.

Common exam traps

  • Choosing the benchmark is part of planning, because it is written into the IPS. Using it to judge results is feedback.
  • Top-down analysis starts from the economy, yet it is an execution activity, not part of planning. Industry figures such as industry return on equity come after macro factors such as fiscal policy.
  • Rebalancing involves trading, but it belongs to feedback, not execution.

LOS 89.c — Types of investors and their needs

  • Individual investors save for goals such as a home, children's education or retirement. Many countries offer tax-deferred retirement accounts, and defined contribution pension plans are a popular vehicle. Their needs depend entirely on the individual.
  • An endowment is a fund dedicated to supporting a specific purpose on an ongoing basis, such as a university's programs. A foundation is a fund set up for charitable purposes, such as supporting research on a disease. A typical aim is to fund the activity indefinitely without eroding the real (inflation-adjusted) value of its assets.
  • A bank aims to earn more on its loans and investments than it pays on deposits. It keeps risk low and needs liquidity to meet depositor withdrawals.
  • Insurance companies invest premiums to pay claims as they arise. Life insurance companies have a relatively long horizon. Property and casualty (P&C) insurance companies have a shorter one because their claims tend to come sooner.
  • Investment companies, such as mutual funds, manage pooled money in a particular style or segment of the market.
  • Sovereign wealth funds are pools of assets owned by a government.
InvestorRisk toleranceInvestment horizonLiquidity needsIncome needs
IndividualsDepends on the individualDepends on the individualDepends on the individualDepends on the individual
BanksLowShortHighPay interest
Endowments and foundationsHighLongLowSpending level
Insurance companiesLowLong (life), short (P&C)HighLow
Mutual fundsDepends on the fundDepends on the fundHighDepends on the fund
Defined benefit pension plansHighLongLowDepends on participants' ages

A defined benefit plan's income need depends on its participants' ages: a plan whose members are mostly retired and drawing benefits needs more current income than one whose members are mostly young workers.

Common exam traps

  • When a life insurer and a P&C insurer are compared, time horizon is the only difference in the profile.
  • A long horizon alone does not identify the investor. A life insurer also has a long horizon, but unlike an endowment, a foundation or a DB plan it has low risk tolerance and high liquidity needs.

LOS 89.d — Defined contribution versus defined benefit pension plans

FeatureDefined contribution pension planDefined benefit pension plan
What the employer promisesA contribution each period into the employee's own account (based on, e.g., salary, service, age, profits or a match of the employee's contribution); no promise about the account's future valuePeriodic payments after retirement, usually based on years of service and salary at or near retirement
Who makes the investment decisionsThe employeeThe employer / plan sponsor (through the plan's fund)
Who bears the investment riskThe employeeThe employer (plan sponsor)
Effect of poor investment returnsSmaller retirement account for the employeeEmployer must contribute more to the fund

Example (defined benefit). A plan pays 1.5% of final salary for each year of service. An employee retiring after 25 years with a final salary of $80,000 receives per year for life. Because that amount is fixed by formula, weak fund returns are the employer's problem rather than the retiree's.

Common exam traps

  • The fund manager bears the investment risk in neither plan. In a DC plan the employer's obligation ends once it has made its contribution, so a fall in the account's value is the employee's loss.
  • A promised contribution is not a promised benefit. A stem that describes a promised retirement income describes a DB plan.

Exam shortcuts

  • Sort a portfolio activity by its output: anything written into the IPS, including the benchmark, is planning; allocating, selecting and building is execution; monitoring, rebalancing and measuring performance is feedback.

Bottom line

  • The portfolio approach judges each investment by its effect on the risk and return of the whole portfolio.
  • Combining assets whose returns are not perfectly positively correlated reduces risk without necessarily giving up expected return.
  • The diversification ratio is the standard deviation of an equally weighted portfolio ÷ the average standard deviation of its securities; the lower the ratio, the greater the benefit.
  • Planning produces the IPS and its benchmark; execution covers asset allocation, security analysis and portfolio construction; feedback covers monitoring, rebalancing and performance measurement.
  • In a DC plan the employee makes the investment decisions and bears the investment risk; in a DB plan the employer promises the benefit and bears the risk.

Quick check

Question 1Core

An investor who applies modern portfolio theory in the tradition of Markowitz is deciding whether to add a utility stock to her holdings. She should most appropriately judge the stock by:

Show answer and explanation

Correct answer: B

Markowitz's framework, the basis of modern portfolio theory, evaluates an investment by its effect on the risk and expected return of the portfolio as a whole. Because risk that can be diversified away is not rewarded, how the asset interacts with existing holdings matters more than its standalone characteristics.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Looking only at expected return ignores risk and ignores how the stock combines with the rest of the portfolio.
  • C. Comparing intrinsic value with market price is standalone security valuation (bottom-up analysis). The Markowitz framework calls for a portfolio-level evaluation.

Key takeaway Modern portfolio theory: no asset is judged in isolation.

Module 89.2

Asset Management and Pooled Investments

LOS 89.e — The asset management industry

The asset management industry consists of firms that manage investments for clients. They are buy-side firms. Broker-dealers and investment banks, by contrast, are sell-side firms. Asset managers may be independent or divisions of larger financial groups.

Type of firmWhat it offers
Full-service asset managerMany investment styles and asset classes under one firm
Specialist asset managerFocus on one investment style or one asset class
Multi-boutique firmA holding company that owns several different specialist asset managers
Traditional asset managerFocus on equities and fixed-income securities
Alternative asset managerFocus on private equity, hedge funds, real estate, commodities and similar assets

Active versus passive management

  • Active management tries to beat a chosen benchmark by relying on the manager's skill, using, for example, fundamental or technical analysis.
  • Passive management tries to replicate a benchmark index, either by tracking a broad market index or through a smart beta approach that targets exposure to a particular risk factor.
  • Passive management accounts for roughly one-fifth of assets under management (AUM). Passive fees are lower, so passive management's share of industry revenue is smaller still than its share of AUM.

Industry trends

  • The market share of passive management has been growing. Lower fees help, as do doubts about whether active managers add value after risk adjustment, especially in developed markets thought to be fairly efficient. Most AUM is still actively managed.
  • Profit margins are higher in alternative asset classes, so many traditional managers have moved into alternatives, blurring the line between the two types.
  • The volume of available data has grown enormously, pushing managers to spend on information technology and on data services bought from third parties.
  • Robo-advisors use computer algorithms to give advice based on an investor's requirements and constraints. They appeal to younger investors and smaller accounts, and they have lowered barriers to entry into asset management, for example for insurance companies.

Common exam traps

  • A holding company whose separate firms each specialize is a multi-boutique firm, even though the group as a whole covers many styles. Do not call it a full-service manager.
  • Smart beta is passive management even though it tilts toward a risk factor. Reliance on fundamental or technical analysis signals active management.

LOS 89.f — Mutual funds and other pooled investments

A pooled investment is a single portfolio holding money from many investors; each investor owns shares in the pool. The net asset value (NAV) per share is

Key concept

Example. A fund holds assets worth $412 million, owes $12 million and has 16 million shares outstanding: per share.

Open-end versus closed-end funds

  • Open-end fund: investors buy newly issued shares at NAV and can redeem shares at NAV by selling them back to the fund, so the number of shares changes with investor demand. New cash is invested in more portfolio securities.
  • Closed-end fund: a fixed number of shares. The fund neither takes new money nor redeems shares. The shares trade like stocks, on an exchange or over the counter. Because the price depends on supply and demand for the shares, the market price can differ significantly from NAV (a premium or discount).
  • All mutual funds charge an ongoing management fee expressed as a percentage of NAV. No-load funds charge no purchase or redemption fees; load funds charge up-front fees, redemption fees or both.

Types of mutual funds

  • Money market funds hold short-term debt securities. They pay interest income, and the chance that the share value changes is very small. NAV is typically held at one unit of currency per share, although some funds' NAVs have fallen in stressed markets.
  • Bond mutual funds hold fixed-income securities and differ by maturity, credit rating, issuer and type (government, tax-exempt, high-yield, global).
  • Stock mutual funds include index funds, which are passively managed to match an index, and actively managed funds, which select securities to beat their benchmarks. Actively managed funds charge higher fees and have higher turnover, which creates higher tax liabilities than index funds.
  • Balanced (hybrid) funds hold both debt and equity securities.

Other pooled vehicles

FeatureOpen-end fundClosed-end fundExchange-traded fund (ETF)
Where investors tradeWith the fundIn the marketIn the market
Price versus NAVTrades at NAVCan differ significantly from NAVKept very close to NAV by special redemption provisions (arbitrage)
Typical management styleActive or indexOften activeMostly passive (index); management fees generally low
Intraday trading, short sales, margin purchasesNo (priced once a day at closing NAV)YesYes
Brokerage commission / bid–ask spreadNoYesYes
DividendsCan be reinvested in fund sharesDepends on the fundUsually paid in cash
Capital gains tax from other investors' exitsCan arise when redemptions force sales of appreciated securitiesNo forced sales, because shares are never redeemedMay be lower: investor sales of ETF shares do not force the fund to sell securities
  • A separately managed account (SMA) is a portfolio owned by a single investor and managed to that investor's needs; no shares are issued. It suits investors with substantial assets and carries an annual fee based on assets.
  • Hedge funds are far less regulated than mutual funds. They limit the number of investors, often to qualified (accredited) investors, set high minimums (commonly $250,000 to $1 million) and are not offered to the general public. Typical fees are 2% of assets plus 20% of excess performance. They follow many strategies, often with leverage, short positions and derivatives. Examples are global macro funds and event-driven funds, which trade around corporate events such as mergers and acquisitions.
  • Private equity (buyout) funds buy all the shares of a company, often a public one, and take it private, usually financing a large percentage of the purchase price with debt. They restructure the company to raise cash flow and typically exit within three to five years, for example through an initial public offering (IPO) or a sale.
  • Venture capital funds resemble buyout funds but invest in start-up companies, usually taking equity stakes with little borrowed money and providing advice and expertise. Both buyout and venture capital managers take an active role in managing the companies they own.

Common exam traps

  • ETFs and closed-end funds both trade in the market, but only a closed-end fund can sit at a large discount or premium to NAV for months. A persistent wide gap points to a closed-end fund, not an ETF.
  • An exit through an IPO does not make a fund a venture capital fund. A fund that takes an established listed company private and later floats it again is a buyout fund; an event-driven hedge fund trades around mergers without running the companies.

Bottom line

  • Asset managers are buy-side firms; a multi-boutique firm owns several specialist managers through one holding company.
  • Active management tries to beat a benchmark; passive management, including smart beta, tracks one, and its share of AUM has been growing.
  • NAV per share = (fund assets − fund liabilities) ÷ shares outstanding.
  • Open-end funds issue and redeem shares at NAV; closed-end funds keep a fixed share count, and their market prices can differ significantly from NAV; ETFs trade in the market at prices kept close to NAV.
  • Hedge funds are far less regulated than mutual funds, are often limited to qualified investors and typically charge 2% of assets plus 20% of excess performance.

Quick check

Question 2Core

Shares of the Norcastle Frontier Fund trade on a stock exchange and have been priced at a discount of about 14% to the fund's net asset value per share for several months. Norcastle is most likely a(n):

Show answer and explanation

Correct answer: A

Closed-end fund shares trade in the market at prices set by supply and demand for the shares, so they can sit at a large and persistent premium or discount to NAV.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Open-end fund shares are bought from and redeemed by the fund at NAV, so they cannot trade at a discount to NAV (and they do not trade on an exchange).
  • C. An ETF's special redemption provisions let arbitrageurs profit from any gap between price and NAV, which keeps ETF prices very close to NAV; a 14% gap lasting months is inconsistent with an ETF.

Key takeaway A large, lasting premium or discount to NAV points to a closed-end fund.

Practice Questions

Question 3Core

An analyst using a top-down approach is evaluating the outlook for chemical company stocks. Which of the following factors should the analyst examine first?

Show answer and explanation

Correct answer: B

A top-down approach moves from the broad economy to industries and only then to individual companies. Fiscal policy (government spending and taxation) is a macroeconomic influence, so it is assessed before any industry-level factor.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Industry return on equity is an industry-level factor. In a top-down sequence it is analyzed after the macroeconomic environment.
  • C. Industry risks are also assessed at the industry stage, after the macroeconomic analysis.

Key takeaway Top-down order: the economy first (e.g., GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, fiscal and monetary policy), then the industry, then the company.

Question 4Core

A pooled investment fund buys all of the outstanding shares of a listed industrial manufacturer, removing it from the stock exchange. The fund installs a new executive team and restructures the company's operations, and four years later it sells the company back to the public through an initial public offering. The fund is most likely a(n):

Show answer and explanation

Correct answer: C

A private equity (buyout) fund acquires entire companies, often public ones that it takes private, restructures them to increase their value and cash flow, and exits after a few years, for example through an IPO.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Venture capital funds invest in start-up companies. An established listed manufacturer is not a venture capital target.
  • B. An event-driven fund is a hedge fund strategy that trades around corporate events such as mergers and acquisitions; it does not buy and run whole companies.

Key takeaway Take private + restructure + exit via IPO = private equity (buyout) fund.

This reading has 34 questions in the full bank. Practice all of them.

Key Takeaways